Wednesday, February 3, 2010


We’re just about six weeks away from Manny Pacquiao’s next big fight, and while it may not be the epic Pacquiao vs Mayweather battle many of us were anticipating, it will likely be a great bout with plenty of action, excitement and profitable betting opportunities!

Over at William Hill, they’ve got some competitive odds available already. Currently, Pacquiao’s odds to win are a very slim 1/4 to beat the Ghanaian welterweight. Clottey’s odds are listed at 11/4 while the unlikely draw is paying out at a 25/1 margin. Pacquiao will be in this one to win and will likely use this as a showcase for how he can beat somebody as solid as Mayweather.

Joshua Clottey has never lost a fight by KO and I think that’s what Pacquiao is going to try to do. A KO or TKO victory for Pacquiao would send a clear message to the Mayweather camp that Floyd’s undefeated career is as good as gone once he steps into the ring with Manny Pacquiao.

The nice thing about a Pacquiao victory by KO, TKO or DQ is that its priced so well. Such a victory to Manny pays out at a juicy 6/4 while a decision victory is laid at an odds-on price of 10/11. Clottey is 8/1 to win via decision and 11/2 to win by KO, TKO or DQ.

I think there’s a great betting opportunity there by backing Pacquiao to KO or TKO Clottey- he’s going to come out with that intention and I don’t see him fighting with attrition in mind. I’m not sure if its going to be a final round KO like we saw against Juan Manuel Marquez, and I’m leaning a bit towards a surprise early KO victory.

The round betting odds for Manny Pacquiao are fairly solid and straightforward. You’ll find him trading as high as 33/1 to win in the first round before dropping as low as 16/1 in rounds 7-10. He is 25/1 in rounds 12 and 2. He is trading at 20/1 in rounds 4, 5, 6 and 11.

Clottey is available at 50/1 to win in rounds 1-4 and rounds 12. He is 40/1 to win in virtually every other round.

I think if you’re looking to back Pacquiao in this fight, to get in there and do it now, as the price will continue to drop as more money comes in. He’s short-priced, so it will be hard to turn a big profit- that’s why I’m pushing Manny Pacquiao to become the first fighter to KO Josh Clottey- sending a clear message to the Floyd Mayweather camp that Pacquiao should be feared.


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